Surprising bankers and markets, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Wednesday spared borrowers with a status quo on interest rates, but promised to act if the expected softening of food prices doesn’t materialise and translate into a significant reduction in headline inflation.
Contrary to expectations of a 25 basis point hike in repo rate to 8 per cent, RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan kept the repo rate steady at 7.75 per cent. “If inflation, excluding food and fuel, does not fall, the RBI will act, including on off-policy dates if warranted, so that inflation expectations stabilise and an environment conducive to sustainable growth takes hold,” Rajan said while unveiling the mid-quarter review of the monetary policy.
Buoyed by the RBI move to hold rates, the BSE Sensex snapped the 6-session losing streak and rose by 247.72 points to close at 20,859.86.
The RBI Governor said the policy decision to hold rates was a close one. Listing reasons for not hiking rates, Rajan said, “There are indications that vegetable prices may be turning down sharply, although trading mark-ups could impede the full pass-through into retail inflation. The disinflationary impact of recent exchange rate stability should play out into prices.”
Bankers said the “stay on rate hikes” will be shot in the arm for borrowers.
However, SBI Chairman Arundhati Bhattacharya said the bank would not contemplate cutting deposit rates. Chanda Kochhar, MD and CEO of ICICI bank said, “The RBI’s commitment to managing adequate systemic liquidity and its balanced approach to growth and inflation should be seen as positives for economic recovery and stability.”
The RBI kept the cash reserve ratio unchanged at 4.0 per cent of deposits, the reverse repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility at 6.75 per cent, and the marginal standing facility rate and the Bank Rate at 8.75 per cent. Rajan had increased the rate by 50 basis points since taking charge of the RBI on September 4. Welcoming the decision, CII said, “... the RBI has demonstrated restraint and foresight to strike the balance between inflation and growth.”
We’re not soft on inflation ... waiting for more data: Rajan
ENS ECONOMIC BUREAU
Mumbai, December 18
RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan on Wednesday maintained that the central bank is waiting for more data before taking further action on the policy front. “I want to emphasise we are not being soft on inflation … it shouldn’t be taken that we’re on hold. We are waiting